While 31 percent thought Starmer and his team had changed the country in the right way,
“but not enough,” more than half — 56 percent — said Labour has either not changed anything since winning power in 2024 or changed the country for the worse.
And a similar proportion — 53 percent — said Labour has no realistic chance of being re-elected whenever the next election comes.
For Nigel Farage’s nationalist Reform UK party, by contrast, the verdict is dramatically more positive. Not only is Farage distinctly more popular than Starmer, his party is seen as more likely to succeed at handling key challenges facing Britain — and 65 percent of the public believe Reform now has “a real chance” of winning power.
The results suggest Farage’s Reform UK has broken through to become a far more credible political movement in the eyes of the public than it was shortly before the 2024 election.
“The Labour Party ran on a promise of ‘change’ but very few people now feel they have delivered,” said Seb Wride, head of polling at Public First. “They therefore have opened the door for Reform to claim that ‘change’ narrative for themselves.”
The poll comes as Starmer faces a concerted campaign to force him out of Downing Street from within his own Labour Party. After months of scandals and missteps, culminating in a dismal slate of election defeats in Wales, Scotland and across English local councils last week, Starmer’s own colleagues are plotting to replace him.