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Germany turns on Brussels as Chinese car sales on track to exceed 1m in 2026

By staffSeptember 18, 20264 Mins Read
Germany turns on Brussels as Chinese car sales on track to exceed 1m in 2026
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Published on
17/09/2026 – 15:12 GMT+2

When Germany’s finance minister chose Volkswagen’s headquarters to deliver a warning about China, the symbolism wasn’t subtle. Standing in the shadow of the carmaker’s flagship plant on Thursday, Lars Klingbeil told Brussels it was time to stop pulling punches with Beijing — a message aimed less at EU trade officials than at the tens of thousands of German autoworkers watching their jobs disappear.

“We cannot, when all is said and done, be naive in our dealings with China,” Klingbeil said, fresh from meetings with VW staff representatives and local politicians. Germany, he added, needs “a different, more robust approach toward countries that threaten our industry.”

It’s a striking shift in tone from Europe’s largest economy, one that reflects just how existential the crisis at its iconic industry has become. Volkswagen — still Europe’s biggest carmaker and long a symbol of German industrial might — is in the middle of what it has itself called the deepest restructuring in its 89-year history, with cumulative job cuts now approaching 100,000.

Mercedes-Benz and BMW are trimming their own workforces too, as all three grapple with a common enemy: Chinese manufacturers that are out-producing, out-pricing, and increasingly out-selling them, especially in electric vehicles.

A crisis Brussels can no longer ignore

Klingbeil’s visit lands at a delicate moment for the EU’s trade relationship with Beijing. The bloc has imposed elevated tariffs on Chinese-built EVs, arguing they’re propped up by state subsidies that give them an artificial cost advantage. But those tariffs stop short of hybrid vehicles which have become one of the fastest-growing categories for Chinese exporters looking to sidestep the existing barriers.

That loophole is now squarely in Berlin’s sights. Klingbeil said Germany would push Brussels for “concrete measures” covering both plug-in hybrids and local content requirements — rules that would force manufacturers selling into Europe to source a greater share of parts from European suppliers.

He wasn’t alone in making the case. Daniela Cavallo, who chairs Volkswagen’s supervisory board and has long been one of the company’s most influential labor voices, appeared alongside the minister to back an extension of tariffs to Chinese hybrids. “We find ourselves in enormously tough, difficult and unfair competition with China,” she said.

The numbers behind the alarm

The scale of the shift explains why a finance minister is now weighing in on car tariffs. Five years ago, Chinese-brand vehicles barely registered in Europe selling 66,000 units out of a market of more than 11 million new cars. By 2023 that share had climbed to roughly 3%. Then it kept climbing: 6.1% in 2025, and 9.2% in the first half of 2026 alone, with Chinese manufacturers now regularly outselling established names like Ford, Audi and Mercedes-Benz in individual months.

Chinese brands are on track to sell more than 1 million cars in Europe in 2026 for the first time — a threshold that would have seemed implausible just three years ago, when sales were smaller than what a single mid-size European manufacturer might convert in a good quarter.

Much of that growth has come through a route the existing tariffs don’t cover. The EU’s elevated duties on Chinese EVs, in place since 2024, briefly slowed the pace that year — but manufacturers pivoted hard into plug-in hybrids, a category exempt from the levies. Chinese brands’ share of European PHEV sales jumped from 2.5% to 13.7% in just twelve months.

The workers aren’t waiting quietly

The politics here are inseparable from the shop floor. IG Metall, Germany’s largest industrial union and a powerful presence on VW’s supervisory board, has spent much of the past year locked in an increasingly bitter standoff with management over the pace and scale of job losses.

The union has organized repeated walkouts and protests at VW plants from Zwickau to Hanover, and it’s planning another round of nationwide demonstrations at car plants and suppliers on Monday — a pointed reminder to Berlin that patience is running out.

Additional sources • AFP

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